The following is from Dan Mitchel.
The most important headline about the Ryan budget is that it limits
the growth rate of federal spending, with outlays increasing by an
average of 3.1% annually over the next 10 years. …limiting spending so
it grows by 3.1% per year, as Mr. Ryan proposes, quickly leads to less
red ink. This is because federal tax revenues are projected by the House
Budget Committee to increase 6.6% annually over the next 10 years if
the House budget is approved (and this assumes the Bush tax cuts are
made permanent).
To balance the budget within 10 years would require that outlays
grow by about 2% each year. …There are many who would prefer that the
deficit come down more quickly, but from a jobs and growth perspective,
it isn’t the deficit that matters. Rather, what matters for prosperity
and living standards is the degree to which labor and capital are used
productively. This is why policy makers should focus on reducing the
burden of government spending as a share of GDP—leaving more resources
in the private economy. The simple way of making this happen is to
follow what I’ve been calling the golden rule of good fiscal policy: The
private sector should grow faster than the government.
One of the best features of the Ryan budget is that he reforms the
two big health entitlements instead of simply trying to save money.
Medicaid gets block-granted to the states, building on the success of
welfare reform in the 1990s. And Medicare is modernized by creating a
premium-support option for people retiring in 2022 and beyond. This is
much better than the traditional Beltway approach of trying to save
money with price controls on health-care providers and means testing on
health-care consumers. …But good entitlement policy also is a godsend
for taxpayers, particularly in the long run. Without reform, the burden
of federal spending will jump to 35% of GDP by 2040, compared to 18.75%
of output under the Ryan budget.
Dan Mitchel explains in the following videos why reducing government as a share of the Gross Domestic Product is important.
http://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2012/03/04/a-fiscal-policy-tutorial-everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-economics-of-government-spending/
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