Thursday, March 3, 2016

Republican Presidential Debate 2016 March in Detroit

The purpose of this blog is to allow the potential reader to ponder the field of Republican candidates. If you want to skip to particular candidates, just scroll down.

Mona Charen has written of the unrealistic expectations that good people are placing upon government. It will have devastating effects on the country because the voters want their politicians to lie to them about what government can do. Charles Krauthammer has written of the foreign policies of the four major contenders.

I have been collecting some thoughtful articles that I hope will prove helpful. I have stayed away from what I thought of as polemical arguments. The order of discussion of the candidates is the in order in which I have my preferences today. I like the diversity represented in this field of candidates. The order reflects that appreciation. I would also note that two Hispanics and an African-American received 60% of the IA vote. When we add Carly, one would like to think that charges of bigotry by Republicans would stop. I know they will not, but it would be nice. The consistent attempt to make illegitimate any opposition to the Progressive-Liberal-Democrat agenda is part of the reality of political discourse today. In the Republican Party, the issue is ideas. If you have good ideas, you will find support, regardless of race, gender, or religious persuasion.

The turnout in the Republican Party primaries and caucuses has broken records. Some people appear to attribute this phenomenon to Trump with the implication that he is growing the party. I have my doubts. I think some Democrats are frustrated with Hillary and Bernie, and are open to the liberal like Donald. I also suspect that some Democrats vote in the Republican primaries for darker reasons. However, I also think that many Republicans are turning out to say "Anybody But Trump."

Speaking of the Republican Party, I have a few thoughts to share. James Hohmann has an interesting discussion regarding the rift over social issues, which in this case means gay marriage and bathrooms. Personally, I find it disgusting that anyone would disagree that a person must use the bathroom of their birth certificate identification. The danger to girls and women is particularly strong here. Mona Charen defends the establishment against Trump in a powerful way. Although she does not mention Rush and Hannity, she addresses herself to their diatribe against the Washington elected officials. If you would like a serious analysis of the political landscape, Angelo Codevilla wrote an analysis in 2010 that is scholarly and I think thought-provoking. The article is not for the faint of heart. It is a long scholarly article. Since I have not referred to it before, I hope you will bear with me. In a more recent article, he summarized his point by saying that "America is now ruled by a uniformly educated class of persons that occupies the commanding heights of bureaucracy, of the judiciary, education, the media, and of large corporations, and that wields political power through the Democratic Party. Its control of access to prestige, power, privilege, and wealth exerts a gravitational pull that has made the Republican Party’s elites into its satellites. Ordinary Americans have endured being insulted by the ruling class’s favorite epitaphs—racist, sexist, etc., and, above all, stupid; they have had careers and reputations compromised by speaking the wrong word in front of the wrong person; endured dictates from the highest courts in the land that no means yes (King), that public means private (Kelo), that everyone is entitled to make up one’s meaning of life (Casey), but that whoever thinks marriage is exclusively between men and women is a bigot (Obergefell). No wonder, then, that millions of Americans lose respect for a ruling class that disrespects them, that they identify with whomever promises some kind of turnabout against that class, and that they care less and less for the integrity of institutions that fail to protect them." Of course, all of this leads into the reason why the "Country Class" feels identification with Trump. the Ruling Class's fatal feature is its belief that ordinary Americans are a lesser intellectual and social breed. Its increasing self-absorption, its growing contempt for whoever won’t bow to it, its dependence for votes on sectors of society whose grievances it stokes, have led it to break the most basic rule of republican life: deeming its opposition illegitimate. The ruling class insists on driving down the throats of its opponents the agendas of each its constituencies and on injuring persons who stand in the way. This has spawned a Newtonian reaction, a hunger, among what may be called the “country class” for returning the favor with interest.It actually deserves more reflection by me than what I am giving it here. I offer a discussion with some pertinent quotes for those who might not think they have the time for the article. The "faith" is that they know better than the people. They are the best and brightest, while the rest of the country is largely racist and bigoted. This is bipartisan, but "Democratic politicians are the ruling class's prime legitimate representatives." They receive solid support from those who self-identity as Democrats. The Republican Party receives solid support from only about one-fourth of its voters. This one fourth you might call "establishment," junior members of the ruling class, but the rest are restless with any of the ruling class. His concern is that the ruling class has become largely monolithic in its thinking, but that America has never had this. "How did America change from a place where people could expect to live without bowing to privileged classes to one in which, at best, they might have the chance to climb into them?" "What really distinguishes these privileged people demographically is that, whether in government power directly or as officers in companies, their careers and fortunes depend on government. They vote Democrat..." "it is possible to be an official of a major corporation or a member of the U.S. Supreme Court (just ask Justice Clarence Thomas), or even president (Ronald Reagan), and not be taken seriously by the ruling class." "Its attitude is key to understanding our bipartisan ruling class. Its first tenet is that "we" are the best and brightest while the rest of Americans are retrograde, racist, and dysfunctional unless properly constrained. How did this replace the Founding generation's paradigm that "all men are created equal"?" "the notion that the common people's words are, like grunts, mere signs of pain, pleasure, and frustration, is now axiomatic among our ruling class." They create dependent economics through taxation, spending, and regulation. "our bipartisan ruling class teaches that prosperity is to be bought with the coin of political support." The ruling class wants to change the culture. "The ruling class is keener to reform the American people's family and spiritual lives than their economic and civic ones." "It believes that the Christian family (and the Orthodox Jewish one too) is rooted in and perpetuates the ignorance commonly called religion, divisive social prejudices, and repressive gender roles, that it is the greatest barrier to human progress because it looks to its very particular interest." The ruling class wants to meddle in the affairs of nations: "its default solution to international threats has been to commit blood and treasure to long-term, twilight efforts to reform the world's Vietnams, Somalias, Iraqs, and Afghanistans, believing that changing hearts and minds is the prerequisite of peace and that it knows how to change them." "our ruling class does not like the rest of America." He contrasts the ruling class with the country class, some of which focus on merit, some of which value traditional family, and some of which want to focus on issues at home rather than abroad. "The country class disrespects its rulers, wants to curtail their power and reduce their perks. The ruling class wears on its sleeve the view that the rest of Americans are racist, greedy, and above all stupid. The country class is ever more convinced that our rulers are corrupt, malevolent, and inept. The rulers want the ruled to shut up and obey. The ruled want self-governance." The country class seeks to use the Republican Party has its vehicle, but has largely failed, the Bush family being the primary means of blocking them. "The Democratic Party having transformed itself into a unit with near-European discipline, challenging it would seem to require empowering a rival party at least as disciplined. What other antidote is there to government by one party but government by another party? Yet this logic, though all too familiar to most of the world, has always been foreign to America and naturally leads further in the direction toward which the ruling class has led. Any country party would have to be wise and skillful indeed not to become the Democrats' mirror image." "Consider: The ruling class denies its opponents' legitimacy." They are "uninformed, stupid, racist, shills for business, violent, fundamentalist, or all of the above."

At this time, philosophical matters regarding the role of government seem to mean nothing. This issue used to be what united Republicans. However, Trump has changed that. We now have a person in the Republican race that rejects the conservatism of Reagan as well as the Bush legacy. He rejects free trade. He does not want to face the growth of entitlement spending. This is a first in my involvement in politics since the mid-1970s. For me, this is the danger of Trump. If he were to win it all, there would be no genuinely conservative party in America. Where do I go? I am quite discouraged with the political class of both parties. It looks like I may need to ponder a separate article on that theme.

March 1 primary verifies my concern. The Republican Party will end up with a nominee who will not break 40% of the vote. With any luck, there will be a brokered convention that will lead to the defeat of Trump.

I think many of us puzzle that the intelligent people we send to Washington, DC cannot get together and make some agreements that will benefit us all. Of course, the differences are real and fundamental. On some big issues, it will not happen. However, on matters of actual governance, we need leaders who know how to work within the constitutional system to govern. It does not seem as if we have much of that. When you de-legitimize your opponent by saying they are racist, mysoginist, party of no, and so on, it makes it difficult to engage in practices that will contribute to actual governance.

In a theme related to the popularity of Trump, but also the attraction of people like Cruz and Carson, I understand the frustration many conservatives have with the way Washington works. However, divided government is frustrating by nature. Divided government reflects the division among the American people. "We the people" seem confused as to what we want out of government. In fact, Cruz in particular receives ovations for saying that he does not work well with Washington Cartel. I would urge fellow conservatives to consider that we need to listen to other Republican Senators, who are clearly not working with Cruz. He has alienated the very people with whom he would need to work as President.

The picture below still has Carson in the debate, but he has recently backed out.

Marco Rubio
The debate on February 25 was the first time anyone has taken a direct shot at Trump, and it came from Marco. I liked what he said. It seemed as if he shook Trump a little. I am sure it will not shake the hold on the 1/3 of the primary voters who are for Trump, but hopefully it will keep his numbers in that range. So far, that has proved to be the case. Trump has not made it over the 40% mark. With so many candidates on the stage, it would have been difficult to do all of this before this moment. However, is it too late? I do not know. My problem with Marco has been that he should have let the good debate stand on its own. He should have gone on to what has attracted many of us to him. He has a Reagan quality. Trading insults with Donald is not a winner, because Donald will always out-insult. I think Marco is at his best when laying out the conservative vision. In any case, I admit my disappointment with the continuing insults toward Trump.

It would appear that Marco would need to win Florida. As a winner take all primary, it would bring his delegate total up substantially. That will be difficult, apparently.

I also saw the first full speech by Marco. I could like him. A lot. If he would stick to that message, he may have a chance.

Count me as one disturbed by what appears to be genuine hatred arising among the top three on the Republican side. Denis Prager has been at the receiving end of hatred due to his support of Rubio, and shares some of his frustration.

What I like about Marco is that he views himself in the line of Ronald Reagan. He understands the importance of limited government, of domestic policy carried out in the states, lower taxes, and less regulation. He values the constitution and will nominate judges who value the original intent. His youth is inspiring. His Cuban background and his personal story are both inspiring. He will bring new focus to the war against militant Islam.

My concern is that he may have a similar vision to that of George W. when it comes to foreign involvements with the military. Starting with Vietnam, I am not one who thinks that American military involvement is the best answer. This is particularly true in Muslim countries.

I am glad the third debate in February went so well for him. He took on Trump. Of course, Trump fired back the next day with Christie endorsing him. The attacks on Trump as a businessman were effective. Some conservatives seem willing to make a deal with the devil in supporting Trump. Some evangelicals seem willing to do the same. I am not.

I am glad that in the second debate in February Marco more than redeemed himself from the previous poor debate. He showed why some of us like him so much. Red State has endorsed Marco. Jennifer Rubin offers an account of why the debate went so well for him. My concern with Rubio is that he defended George W. Bush so strongly. He did a better job that Jeb. He has a strong sense of what it will take to defeat ISIS. I like that. Will he lead to greater military involvement than is necessary or needed?

The debate before the New Hampshire primary was not a good one for Marco in the opening 30 minutes. After that, he did well. My puzzlement was the inappropriateness of repeating his belief that Barak Obama knows exactly what he is doing. Now, I happen to agree with him, and therefore not with Trump or Christie. Obama is not incompetent. He is an ideologue who wants to take America apart and re-construct along the lines of some version of a European socialist state. Marco understands that very well, much better than other candidates. However, his repetition bothered me. Something like, "Governor Christie, Donald, you need to educate yourselves on what this President is up to" would have been far more appropriate. By the way, Leon H. Wolff notes that Christie has his own pat answers. He needs to learn get away from Obama and focus on Hillary. The rest of his debate was very good. His comeback on abortion was insightful and powerful.

He came in surprisingly high in IA, placing third and just barely behind Trump. NH was obviously devastating to the campaign. He accepted responsibility for it. He vows it will not happen again. I have lived long enough to see politicians have bad debates and rise from them. Whether this will be such an example, I do not know. South Carolina will tell much about the future for Rubio. I still have hopes. I think he has a solid vision of the role of the federal government, he has the knowledge to guide us in defending the country, and he has the best chance of beating Hillary.

He presents his position on the issues on his web site. I like the idea of a Cuban-American becoming President, but my primary concern is the issues. After the Simi, California debate, which focused on foreign policy, I must say that he communicates the vision well. Even where I might disagree, I have respect. I remain convinced after the CNBC debate. His strategy, from what I hear, is that he wants to make a "push" in Iowa and New Hampshire in January. I hope that means he will be out more on the shows and the political circuit. People need to see him far more than they do. One of the issues I have had with all the attention to Trump is that it is too early. In January, it will be time for the candidates to make a move in the early states. At this point, I can only say that I hope the strategy works.

A pleasant surprise has been that Rush Limbaugh has had positive comments to make about Marco. Given the hatred that some in conservative radio has of Marco, it was courageous of Rush at some level. He knew Marco and has no interest I putting him out of the conservative movement because of his involvement in the immigration deal.

I do not appreciate the attacks from the Cruz and Bush campaigns at all. His not being present at certain votes does not bother me in the slightest. His past vote on immigration is of no bother as well. Frankly, that is a plus. In addition, what he says now is a plus. However, George Will has pointed to potential weaknesses in Marco. This is the type of article that I would like to think Marco is mature enough not to respond defensively and learn from these potential weaknesses. He will have to face them if he is President. I do not view the weaknesses as disqualifying, but he needs to listen.

Mark A. Thiessen elevates Marco over Cruz in terms of what the former did in a practical way against the Affordable Care Act. However, Sahill Kapur says the numbers of his budget do add up to a balanced budget.

Since the rise of national security in this campaign, Rubio has gone up in the polls. My concern with him is that around him appear to be the "neo-conservatives" who led the charge into the Middle East under George W. I wish he exhibited more hesitancy to use military force. On the other hand, we are at a time, in my judgment, when ISIS needs to be taken out. Many people I trust in the military actually think this can be done quickly, and with a modest number of troops, maybe 10-20,000, along with Sunni troops. This is a tough matter, but now that terrorists are running country, the country (ISIS) needs to be taken out.

Whenever I hear him speak, I am impressed. He has what some of us might call a conservative vision of what American can be. For me, this is primary. He seems willing to engage the battle. Nicholas Riccardi of the AP has provided a relatively balanced review of the Rubio tax plan. Star Parker shares her early sense that Rubio may have that Reagan touch. She also writes about how his understanding of "black lives matter" is on target.

The New York Times provided some levity. They must think he is dangerous from the perspective of their liberal bias. They ran stories that he had two driving violations in 20 years and that he had a "luxury speed boat." My understanding is that for many who live in Miami, the driving violation should earn him an award for best driver. You can find a picture of the boat. Ramesh Ponnuru digs into the supposed bad decisions regarding personal finances and thinks that he is like most Americans. Michelle Ye Hee Lee says the accusations concerning use of the Republican Party charge card in Florida that it is much ado about nothing. Even his boots became a point of attack.

Albert Hunt has written an interesting article on the possibility of Republicans needing to make a choice between Marco and Cruz. I think that would be very interesting. I agree with him that both Trump and Carson will fade, although for quite different reasons. Trump will fade when people get tired of his bluster (I will do the best, it will be the greatest, etc.) Carson will fade because his lack of political experience will undermine this fine, exemplary man. Jonathan Bernstein thinks that Marco is now in November 2015 the most likely nominee. However, to read this article is also to read of his failure to predict well. In some ways, the article is humorous. Was he smiling ironically as he wrote it?

When I think ahead to the campaign against Hillary, I still think Marco represents the best chance for a solid victory at the national level and that he will help at the local level. If we add a good woman candidate with him as vice-president, it would be almost unstoppable,  I think.

John Kasich
I have long liked him and followed his work in Congress as well as Governor. I was reminded of why in watching him at the Jack Kemp forum. He would find ways to get things done and work across the aisle. However, right now, many Republicans do not seem interested in that. I like the way he has integrated his faith journey into his presentation of himself.

The "however" with him is his performance on the debate stage. His performance in the Simi, California debate was disappointing. He has not done well in the debates. In October, he said things that have not helped him. He is someone who does not seem to campaign well at the national level. His off the cuff statements about his competitors do not wear well. Frankly, although I am confident he is a good thinker about things that matter, he is not able to communicate that on the national stage. In fact, at times, he seems petty and out of touch. He seems like the person who tries too hard to do or be something that he is not. After the Las Vegas debate, I think he will not go far.

A Newsweek interview in the Jewish World Review offers some background. Margaret Carlson promotes this candidate on the basis of his record, but also points out that he is not pure enough for some conservatives. She later wrote that he was the best path to beat Trump and witn the general election. David Shribman says this is his moment. Albert Hunt likes John Kaisch, contrasting his Ohio popularity with the other unpopular governors on this list. Amber Philipps wants to get acquainted with him.

Ted Cruz
He has a news portion on his web site.

Ted Cruz had a strategy in which he viewed himself as energizing the evangelicals who stayed home to bring forth a majority in the general election. When Trump entered the race, his strategy did not change. He obviously did not think Trump would have an appeal among them, but a plurality have gone for him. I would point out that 30% of self-identified evangelicals voted for Obama. In any case, the political landscape changed, but the Cruz strategy did not. He needed to broaden his appeal and stop sounding like a revival preacher.

Rich Lowry has written his reasoning for supporting Cruz over Trump. Of course, Trump is not a conservative and to Lowry Cruz is the true conservative in this election process. Jonah Goldberg also seems to favor Cruz. David Limbaugh has come out solidly for Cruz and in the process says we have no idea what Trump will do as President.

David Brooks has written an article getting a lot of press. It points to a disturbing incident in his political career that makes me put him further down the list. With Cruz, it is a matter of "How do I not like thee? Let me count the ways." He sounds like a preacher, in a very bad sense. He reminds me of a used car salesperson, trying to sell me something I do not want. He has made it virtue that no one else in the Senate supports him in his fights. In other words, he does not play well with others.

Early in the primary process, Cruz adopted a hands off approach to Trump and attacked Rubio, even though in terms of conservativism, they are in the same ballpark. Now, many of us who do not like Trump have Cruz and Rubio in some type of one-two arrangement. His attacks on Rubio, however, were not even accurate. Leon Wolff has identified issue. Mona Charen also points to the dishonesty of Cruz regarding his presentation of his views. Curt Anderson makes the case that Cruz is more narcissistic than is Trump. He has specific incidents of appeasing a crowd rather than speaking honestly of his beliefs. My point is that it showed lack of judgment and personalizing of the campaign instead of keeping the larger picture in mind of keeping this Party a conservative party. Ed Rogers thinks he deserves conservative support, even with some of his admitted personal flaws.

Of course, his Hispanic background is attractive. He has said many things I like. He is an intelligent man. He can make a sound argument. I do not like the fact that when he has staked out a position in the Senate, only one or two others join him. I guess that fact attracts some conservatives like Limbaugh and Hannity. He sounds too much like a preacher for me. He sounds like someone who has something to sell, but you are never quite sure if what he is selling is a good product. However, his performance in the Las Vegas debate on CNN in December was impressive. Byron York, after Steve Deace of Iowa endorsed him, examines the increase in support for Cruz since the debate. George Will describes his election strategy of energizing conservatives to come to the polls, a strategy Obama perfected. My assessment is that such a strategy obviously can work of the messenger is right. Reagan had a similar strategy. I do not think Cruz is the right messenger. Jennifer Rubin offers six reasons Cruz has a difficult path to the nomination. Debra J Saunders explores whether he even qualifies as a natural born citizen.


Here is my "Please No" list.

Donald Trump
I want to share a suspicion. Most Democrats have known that Hillary would be their nominee. Many of the primaries are "open," meaning that anyone can vote. I think many Democrats have organically decided (not a conspiracy) to vote in the Republican Party primary in order to do their version of "Operation Chaos" by pumping up Trump numbers. I have anecdotal evidence in Minnesota, in which some who caucused with Republicans clearly were Democrat and every intention of staying Democrat in the general election. I have no idea how many persons this would be, of course, but I think it enough to throw the election in the direction of Trump.

In March 2016, one conservative commentator I respect said the following about Trump:
KRAUTHAMMER:  He's demonstrated the ability to bring out people who aren't regular voters, aren't regular Republicans. And he could alter the map.  I think Democrats who thought six months ago that he was a joke -- I thought he was a joke as a nominee for the Republican Party, and a lot of people thought as well, and we were all wrong.  So he has the capacity to appeal.  Democrats are beginning to think that this is not a slam dunk and this guy, he doesn't play by the rules; he makes 'em up. And under a new set of rules, she could lose to him.

Rich Lowry has written what I have been thinking and written in my blog, that Trump represents the destruction of the Republican Party. He is running against the Party from within the Party. Thomas Sowell writes of the importance of the time and the danger of Trump.

David Brady and Douglas Rivers explains the Trump phenomenon in a growing distrust of government in that many think special interests control government. Jim Tankersley explains it with the commitment of the Republican Party to free trade and the lack of results. For those not too acquainted with the Republican Party, Philip Rucker and Dan Balz explain the many policies he has that are contrary to the tradition of the party. Jonah Goldberg says that whether Trump is or is not the nominee, the GOP is over as it was.

Donald Lambro has written a sensible article. I interpret this way. The Establishment (term used positively here) had a plan for increasing Republican presence in the House and Senate and put a Republican in the Presidency. Trump has destroyed that plan and it will lead to devastating losses by Republicans throughout the country. Rich Lowry writes about how Trump has destroyed the type of conservativism represented by Jack Kemp and Marco Rubio. He also points to the Trump opposition to the Bush family. On this, I agree that the party needs to distance itself from the Bush family, but the way Trump has done this will be devastating to the Party.

Darren Patrick Guerra has written about the myth of evangelical support for Trump. Robert P. George and George Weigel argue from a Roman Catholic perspective that Trump disqualifies himself.

Rush Limbaugh has worked hard at not supporting anyone in this campaign. He clearly has thought Ted Cruz was the most conservative option. He also thinks such philosophical matters are not part of this election. However, every chance he has gotten, he defends Trump. Here is the problem. Several public figures who are clearly conservative will put a positive spin Trump. These persons generally have not perceived the danger of Trump to conservativism. They have not had the insight the Establishment has had in seeing Trump as a danger to the Republican Party. The reason, I think, is that some conservatives have grown to hate the Establishment so much they have grown blind to a danger from another quarter. I finally saw this type of analysis in print with Michael Gerson, which makes me think I might be at least headed in the right direction.

It is hard to keep up with the incidents that surround Trump. In March 2016, we have the physical exchange between a campaign leader and reporter Michelle Fields. Mona Charen offers a reasonable analysis, referring to the "morality-free" zone that Trump inspires.

Philip Bump argues that while many voters are energized toward Republican primaries, the reason is to vote against Trump. Jim Geraghty makes it clear that Trump cannot win the general election, because as high as the negatives of Hillary are with the general population, Trump's are even higher.

Brett Arends writes of the downside of the Trump business record, where he makes money while stockholders do not.

I hear some people saying that Trump represents what "the people" want. I would remind any potential reader that "the people" are about one-third of the voters thus far. In reality, "the people" want someone other than Trump. If it was one on one, Trump, I am convinced, would be losing in the same way that Bernie Sanders is losing.

I do not find the comparisons with Mussolini or fascists very helpful. I have found a few analyses of the support for Trump that I have found insightful.

Daniel W. Dresner writes about the trouble with Trump is that he is as simple as he sounds, and is therefore is "a narcissistic, ignorant, misogynistic gasbag." Those who follow Trump also simple, so you can add racist to the analysis. I do not usually refer to such articles, but this one had an interesting twist, whether one agrees or does not.

Angelo Codevilla gives the best explanation I have read of the fascination with Trump and why he opposes Trump. He writes of the frustration that many Americans have with the ruling class, which is progressive and Democrat, that finds expression in Trump. His concern is that following up one emperor with another emperor may mean the end of a republican (note small r) form of government. Thomas Sowell expresses his disagreement with the Trump campaign. He laments with the concern that when we need maturity after the disaster of Obama, we will get Trump. He states clearly that the direction we are heading means the front-runners in both political parties are not merely inadequate but appalling.  Mona Charen puts him together with Bernie Sanders as a demagogue. She also gave tips to Trump opponents for certain areas of attack. Mark Tooley writes of why he will vote for Hillary rather than Trump after 33 years of voting Republican. Of course, I cannot do that one. I would rather leave that box unchecked. Religious leader Max Lucado has offered a perspective on simple decency that should disqualify Trump, especially as he declares himself a Christian and holds up a Bible. In 2011, Jonathan Hoenig said that while Trump is a businessman, his business policies are not in line with capitalism. Mark Cunningham has written of how Trump has a new way to win. I hope that the following will help others think through the process. National Review came out with an edition labeled "Against Trump." People like Glenn Beck, Thomas Sowell, Dana Loesch, and Brent Bozell III are hardly the hated "establishment." Some are for Cruz. I wish Rush and Hannity would ban the word "establishment" when it comes to analyzing this nomination process. People have many reasons for adopting the position they do. It is not all about maintaining the establishment. In fact, much of the debate is about method rather than the goal, as I hope to show a little later. Jonah Goldberg was glad for the February 25 debate and its attack on Trump, considers it unfortunate that an attack on his governing philosophy is not effective, and that the only attack that will work is that he is a shallow, vain, bullying man. He expanded the objection again with reference to some of his friends, such as Sean Hannity and Bill Bennett, and especially the inappropriate connection with Ronald Reagan.

Sadly, David Brooks offered a ridiculous piece opposing Trump in which his attack was upon those who vote for him as desiring authoritarianism, defined as parents who desire their children to be respectful. This attempt to discover the authoritarian-leaning voter is highly suspect and biased.

Anger. Trump has made a big thing about being angry, the label Nikki Haley applied to him. Bernie Sanders has done the same. I offer a modes thought. Anger is one of the 7 deadly sins of the Christian tradition. Angry people get the attention. Angry people, under the right circumstances, can get their way. I do not claim great insight here, but it seems to me this election cycle is for anger. I hope calm thought and thoughtfulness will prevail. Of course, one can be angry in a way that leads to appropriate change. It would be hard to fight for justice without some anger. However, I am wrestling with the "righteousness" of the anger that I am seeing. I am not so sure it is "righteous."

The Pope and Donald Trump - An unusual moment in the campaign. In February 2016, the Pope offered some comments on Trump and his Christianity. As reported in the NYT:
“A person who thinks only about building walls, wherever they may be, and not building bridges, is not Christian,” Francis said when a reporter asked him about Mr. Trump on the papal airliner as he returned to Rome after his six-day visit to Mexico. Asked whether he would try to influence Catholics in how they vote in the presidential election, Francis said he “was not going to get involved in that” but then repeated his criticism of Mr. Trump, with a caveat. “I say only that this man is not Christian if he has said things like that,” Francis said. “We must see if he said things in that way and in this I give the benefit of the doubt.” - My humble offering is that the Pope has made an error. You could argue that the Trump position on building a wall to secure the border is not a Christian position, I suppose, but to say he is not a Christian for holding that position is just strange. He needs to say that his English is not that good, that he would not judge someone's faith, and then clarify. As to the substance, Trump could have said that he is not only for a wall, but, as he has said, "a big beautiful door," which would also be like a bridge between the two countries. As always with Trump, if anything, this will help him with voters.

Let us discuss Donald Trump and Ted Cruz for a moment. Trump and Cruz went through a phase in which they went at each other. Albert Hunt discusses how the supporters differ. The difficulty for me is that I do not like either one. I cannot say that I have had this experience before.

As for Trump, some of his opponents have said that Hillary would beat him easily. If so, I ask, what does this say about his opponents in the Republican field? If he were to win the nomination, I do think Hillary would beat him easily. However, my hope is that someone else will be the nominee. He has changed the equation dramatically.

Barack Obama is the primary reason for the rise of Donald Trump. I do not mean this to be a polemical matter or even a partisan one. However, throughout the Obama presidency, the policies adopted regarding both immigration and terror have seemed weak and ineffective to many Americans. Someone was going to tap into that perception of things. Philosophically, this is in line with Hegel. Once the primary theme becomes the agenda that Obama has, it becomes "natural" for its opposite to arise, and Donald Trump has tapped into that opposite. However, the opposite to progressive Obama is not necessarily conservative. Yes, it will be patriotic, concerned with physical threats from Islamic militancy, and rein in the federal government at some level. With Donald Trump, we have someone who has done so in the manner of a celebrity. He figures out a way to say something that will grab the media attention. This attention gets him high numbers in the polls. It also gets him free media. He has spent little of his money on the campaign thus far. We can see this strategy in the way he makes policy suggestions. The change began with the way he focused on immigration. His focus on immigration has brought the frustration with this issue to the fore. I see many people in both parties very concerned about the favors granted to illegal immigrants vs. citizens. Many people also do not want their illegal behavior rewarded while those who go through the process legally get pushed to the back of the line. The change has continued with the way he says he will deal with Syrian refugees and with the war against ISIS. Of course, Trump also gives the impression that he will get things done. I recall a similar attraction to Ross Perot in the 1992 election. However, I also sense an emotional connection with his energy, excitement, grandiose claims, and even his anger. The other way he keeps the media focused on him is the way he attacks his opponents if they start climbing in the polls.

Donald Trump is part Democrat and part Republican. He is more like the old-time conservative Democrat, which no longer exist. As a result, his policies, and sometimes his comments, reflect that focus.  Mona Charen has stated well my concern here as she focuses on what will happen to a conservative vision of government in this nomination process. George Will has nailed it once again on this matter. The election of Trump will mean the end of a conservative vision of governance. David French has identified my primary concern, that Trump is popular because he is not a conservative. He also stresses that the "base" is not as conservative some analysts have thought.

I am not a Trump fan. If the two dominant political parties give me the choice of Trump and Hillary, let us just say that I will be deeply disappointed - Again. I will be so embarrassed that I will tell no one for whom I vote.

Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, and Mark Levin have run their version of "operation chaos" against what they view as the establishment of the Republican Party. What they forget is that constituents have voted for them. These are people who believe in limited forms of government involvement in our lives, and therefore less taxes and regulation. In any case, I think for these media personalities, Trump was a vehicle for lashing out at what they believe has been weak opposition to the Obama agenda. Hannity regularly says Republicans mistrust their leadership. He does not often point out that the opposite is true with the Democrat leadership, where the rank and file Democrat marches in lockstep with the leadership. I figured that eventually, the Democrat part of Trump would come out in a way that these media persons would have to respond negatively. What has amazed me is that their hatred of "establishment" has meant speaking positively about a liberal to moderate politician like Trump. In the process, they may well kill the Republican Party as a conservative party. My frustration is that as Republicans attempt to follow the constitution, where the President does not, there are limits to what they can do, even with majorities in both Houses. My further concern, that conservative does not yet share, is that Trump will damage conservative ideas by his attacks on conservative and liberal ideas. He is charting his own course, and it is not the conservative ideas that Rush, Bill Buckley, George Will, and Ronald Reagan fought for. For me, it is enough that George Will has spoken on this matter. Please read this article if you are still leaning this way. He has updated his concerns. Russell Moore makes it clear that it is time for Christians to stand up against Trump, given his December proposal to ban all Muslims from entering the USA temporarily. There are Muslims in the Middle East, such as the UAE, who are active in promoting a moderate and modern application of Islam. Trump does not seem to acknowledge that his plan would tend to push Muslims in the Middle East toward radical beliefs. Charles Krauthammer has expressed well the problem with banning all Muslims from entering the USA. Jennifer Rubin highlights the statement made by Paul Ryan against Trump. I like that these articles do not get into inflaming rhetoric of fascism and bigotry, both terms liberals throw around to every conservative. Violence against Trump could be the result. In an interview on MSNBC, Trump praised the leadership of Putin after Putin praised Trump. Quite honestly, in a normal world, this would be enough to defeat Trump. He also found it hard to offer comfort to Muslims in America who are peaceful, beyond his typical, "I have many Muslim friends." Michael Reagan says that Trump is a fake conservative and a danger to the Republican Party. Alicia Colon, who apparently knows The Donald, thinks he would have been wonderful mayor of NYC, but not a President. Kathleen Parker says one should not dismiss Trump, and offers her reasons. David Limbaugh wonders if Trump will awaken the "sleeping giant." Angelo Codevilla has some very good comments about the rise of Trump.  After the Cleveland debate, George Will, whose wife works for the Scott Walker campaign, wrote that Trump is a counterfeit conservative. Will continues his probing in a September 2015 article.  S. E. Cupp describes the Trump voter as not part of the base conservative (who thinks of Jeb Bush as establishment, purist) but rather disaffected moderates and even some on the Left. She points to some voters who say that if Bernie Sanders does not make it through the primaries, they are going for Trump.

Jeff Jacoby shares why Trump will not be the nominee, a thought many had early in the campaign. He begins with the idea that it says many good things about the Republican Party that most Republicans have a negative view of him. William Kristol is also against Trump, but pauses to listen to what attracts people to him. Joseph Curl thinks that he is actually a Democrat plant, given his donations to the Democrat Party. Jonah Goldberg says he is a bad deal for the Party. In raising the issue of illegal immigration. He just did OK in the Simi, California debate.  Judd Legum suggests that an essay written in the 1950s by Roland Barthes, a French philosopher, helps us understand the appeal of Trump by appealing to the difference between wrestling and boxing. It reads like someone who does not want to understand the complex reasons people support Trump.

Of course, he has raised the matter of illegal immigration. Terry Jeffrey says that 41.7% of the federal criminal cases are in the five districts across from Mexico. Linda Chavez takes a strong stance against what Trump says about illegal immigrants, but I have a few comments for her. S. E. Cupp discusses what Trump is doing right in July 2015, as he speaks in a fresh way. Eric Erickson discusses the nervousness that the political field has with the way Trump is getting so much attention in July 2015. Mona Charen shares some statistics regarding crime and illegal immigration, encouraging a calm conversation that Trump has precluded. Family Security Matters offers further statistics that would contradict Mona Charen and support Trump. I confess that the statistics I have seen are confusing. Thomas Sowell discusses his problems with Trump while discussing immigration.  The Corner in the National Review offers a brief description of the immigration plan he offered in August 2015, which is largely the plan of Jeff Sessions. Ann Coulter explains why Trump is right concerning the interpretation of the 14th Amendment. Linda Chavez focuses on birthright citizenship and defends it. Michael Barone offers a discussion of the 14th amendment and supports the idea of birthright citizenship. Mona Charen joins the ranks of this view of the 14th amendment. Charles Krauthammer takes on the immigration matter and supports the idea of birthright citizenship. Michael Reagan thinks it time to take on Trump. George Will thinks the immigration plan could spell doom for the Republican Party. He also thinks that Trump will damage the Republican Party amidst minority voters and offers statistics to show why this is so dangerous. Helen Raleigh points to the Know-Nothing Party as a parallel, focusing on immigration.

Larry Kudlow discusses whether Donald Trump is a supply-side person on taxes and spending. He thinks Trump is. Larry Kudlow and Stephen Moore point out that the last protectionist president America had was Republican Herbert Hoover, and that did not go well. The trade policy of Trump seems headed down that path. Robert J. Samuelson says "Trumpanomics" does not add up.

Here are some analyses.    Dana Milbank writes of South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley talking back to Trump. Nate Silver says we should not compare Trump and Sanders, and offers his reasons.  Paul Greenberg refers to Trump as in the tradition of the ugly American, Pat Buchannan and the populist know-nothing party. Jeff Jacoby shows how Trump is in favor of expanding "eminent domain," something most conservatives would normally be against.

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Wecyclers and Bilikiss Adebiyi-Abiola

I came across an article that involves a certain woman, Bilikiss (pronounced BILLY-KEESS) Adebiyi-Abiola, who had a wonderful opportunity offered to her. You can hear her on Youtube talk about her business. The Huffington Post (November 2014) has an interesting article and interview with her. The Guardian (October 2015) has a very good article as well. She received the honor of being a “lioness of Africa,” that is, one of the great female entrepreneurs of Africa.
The story of Bilikiss has inspired me. If you listen to the interview above, I think you will receive inspiration as well. It does not inspire me because of the recycling business. Although I recycle when available, I do not make a big deal of this. Her commitment and passion are inspiring. However, what inspires me most today is how she could look at something that most of us ignore and saw a business opportunity. Bishop Michael Coyner in Indiana has had a focus on “making a difference” in the lives of people. This woman has done that, and the phrase will show up a few times. Here is part of her story.
She packed her things, said goodbye to her friends and family, and traveled thousands of miles from her home in Lagos, Nigeria, to New England where she would study hard and work diligently toward a Masters of Business Administration degree from Massachusetts Institute of Technology. An MBA from MIT would open up a world of possibilities for Bilikiss. She could start a new business, or work for an established company at a high salary. Soon she would have enough money to provide for her family, and buy just about anything she wanted. Yet, this is not who this young woman is. After spending 13 years in the United States, part of it at IBM, she was still far from home. Yet, Bilikiss had a moment when she “came to herself.” She realized that “waste” fascinated her. She had seen people in the United States sort their trash into recycling bins, and learned how this simple act helps preserve the environment by dramatically decreasing the amount of trash in landfills.
Then, this young woman remembered her home where trash is a problem.
"People in the U.S. are very careful about taking care of waste. I thought, Why not Nigeria?" she said.
Lagos, like many large cities, has its problems. As the most populous city in Africa, life in Lagos can present a number of urban challenges. Since 2004, Nigeria has seen a 5% increase in the number of people living below $1 per day, despite recently overtaking South Africa as the continent’s largest economy. Of Lagos’s 18 million residents, 60% live in slum neighborhoods that operate as informal, thriving cities of their own. No one collects about 60% of the trash. It sits in piles and sometimes in the street.
More than an odious nuisance, uncollected trash is a dangerous health hazard. Garbage piles are breeding grounds for flies and rodents that spread disease.
If you have been to a poor country, you know the challenge this can be. When I went to Haiti, it was obvious as we entered the villages outside the capitol the problem with trash. We often saw it lining the streets. Children played in it.
Bilikiss' new way of seeing trash awakened her to new possibilities for the MBA she was earning. She was not going to use her degree to start just any business. No, she decided that, after graduation, she would return home to start a recycling business to help Nigeria with its trash problem.
She began to formulate a plan she could put in action when she arrived in Lagos. She considered startup costs and many of the business logistics. She thought about ways to educate people about the benefits of recycling. She named her new company Wecyclers.  
Soon after graduation, she began the long journey home, eager to make a difference for her people.
Upon arrival, things did not go as planned. When she shared her message of how recycling would help the environment, many of the people of Lagos were not listening. It is always hard to get people to change their ways, maybe especially with something as apparently trivial as trash.
Then she had another revelation.
Rather than showing people what recycling could do for the city, she would show them what recycling could do for them. She would show people the value of what they were throwing away.
Lagos generates approximately 735,000 tons of plastic each year, worth about $300 million to waste brokers who resell it to recyclers and others.
"That's money lying on the street," Bilikiss says.
She has received many awards and recognitions since her business started in 2012. She was a “lioness of Africa.” As the editor of the magazine put it,
 
We love the fact that one woman entrepreneur had an incredible vision to positively change lives and make a difference in her country, and as a result, is working to successfully change the environmental behavior of a country’s population, one piece of plastic at a time.
 
Not only would recycling help the city with their trash problem, and cut down on the spread of disease, it would generate cash -- money that could help people improve their lives in other ways.
Bilikiss started offering incentives, in essence paying people for their recyclables.
Today Wecyclers is cleaning up!
They visit some 6,000 homes each week exchanging cash and household goods for recyclables, collecting 40 tons each month.
This young woman who traveled far from home is changing the way the people of Lagos look at their garbage. She is reclaiming the lost money once left lying in the street.
What was once trash is now seen as a treasure.
As a preacher, let me say that, especially during the season of Lent, we might find a wonderful spiritual lesson here about human lives. Do not pass by a human life and assume it worthless. God may well see a treasure there.
Here is some wisdom from her.
 
"Do not be afraid of failure. Live and take risks. If you stay in your safe zone, you won’t learn enough."
Believe in your plan and stick to it....
" Believe in your idea even if other people are trying to convince you otherwise. It is great to incorporate people’s feedback into your work, but if you do not agree with them, stick with your plan."
Don't be put off by rejection, persist....
"Push more! You have to grab things and be persistent. Don’t take things personally. Rejection is part of the game, just keep pushing. Don’t give up. Push more!"
The easiest way to get funding is to build a great team....
"You will be surprised at how quickly your idea will take off when you have a solid group of people that are equally passionate about it. Also, like our parents say, two or more heads are better than one. The diversity as well as the expanded network will amplify your chances of funding the venture."
 
 
 



Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Democratic Party Debate March 2016

My intent is to offer information about the anticipated election of 2016. The focus here is Hillary Clinton and the issues raised by her candidacy. I will stay away from fiercely partisan writers and focus upon analyses that will be as objective as possible. I do so as one who changed from Democrat to political conservative in my mid-20s (1970s), due to the influence of William Buckley, George Will, and Milton Friedman. My primary reason for the change was a shift in my understanding of the role the federal government ought to have in the lives of its citizens, including its taxation and regulation of the private sector.

In May, Fred Barnes describes a difference between myth and reality in Hillary. Newt Gingrich writes of the male-female pay discrepancies in the Hillary Senate staff and at the Foundation. Dick Morris writes of how Trump is changing the Democrat Party. Kathleen Parker shares a 13 minute video of the lies of Hillary. Most who follow the political scene will remember them, but worth hearing again. John Kass deals with the NYT hit piece on The Donald and why it is ineffective. Of course, he is referring to Hillary's husband. If I can find a less polemical article, I will replace this one, but for those who need a reminder. Wesley Pruden says people just do not like Hillary and she cannot do anything about that except remind people of what they do not like about The Donald. Jonah Goldberg says the IG report on the emails confirms everything critics have said. The best brief article concerning why the sexual affairs of Bill matter for Hillary is by Rich Lowry.

At this stage, I am quite disappointed in the political class of both political parties. I believe the country faces some important challenges. In reading some presidential biographies, I think one could make a strong case that the political class failed the country during the Jackson Era, largely because of the dominance of Jackson and his circle. Its failure led to the Civil War. The political class can fail is my point, and the result can be disaster.

Hillary will be the nominee. I would be shocked if the two "super Tuesday" primaries in March will not have the result of Hillary being the obvious nominee. Bernie will keep in it and try to get a prime time speech. I will be surprised if Clinton will be gracious in victory. Hillary is simply not likable to many persons. She will continue to claim that people do not want to vote for her because they are not ready for a woman president. This avoids a harsh reality. Even many liberals do not like her. I think feminists are starting to realize what she did to the women her husband sexually abused. The only way any of the scandals surrounding Hillary "matter" is if Democrats will withdraw votes due to them. I do not see that happening. In addition, I would invite anyone to look up the number of delegates she has already. She is way ahead.

I offer a few general observations.

R. Emmett Tyrell Jr has written about the death of liberalism, making the claim that the old liberalism of the 1960s is dead, replaced by a progressive approach that is quite different from the past. Charles Krauthammer has written a brief synopsis of the four major candidates (April 2016) in terms of foreign policy.

The Democrat Party is raising the issue of socialism. Here is a brief discussion of socialism between Milton Friedman and Phil Donahue. Less than 4 minutes. Given the nature of the Democrat primary, it is worth hearing again. Walter Williams has 5 minutes on the morality of capitalism that you will find interesting. I find it disheartening that America is changing to the point where a socialist can garner half the votes in IA and likely win New Hampshire. I do think that is the direction of the Democrat Party, but it concerns me nonetheless. Voters need to do some serious reading about the disaster socialism would bring to this country. Patrick Barron explains why European socialism is failing. Stephen Moore explains the failure of European socialism through economist Milton Friedman. John Hawkins offers 5 ways socialism destroys societies. Alternatively, the best approach to understand capitalism better, which Thomas Sowell, Walter Williams, and Milton Friedman (Capitalism and Freedom, Free to Choose) are the best ways to do this. If you want an extensive analysis, George Gilder, Wealth & Poverty is the best approach I have seen in laying out the moral foundation for capitalism. Thomas Sowell has written of the lure of socialism. Walter Williams writes of the hidden and negative history of progressivism. Michael Tanner has a nice article on whether socialism is making a comeback. Harry Jaffa has written about the change occurring in liberalism/progressivism/socialism, and here is a brief summary by Steven Hayward. On the lighter side, Emily Ekins writes that millennials are attracted socialism - until they get jobs.

Robert J. Samuelson discusses the down side of "soaking the rich" as a tax policy.
He notes that the top 1 percent accounted for 14.6 percent of pretax income in 2011 and paid 24 percent of federal taxes. Clinton would raise total taxes 1.1 trillion over the decade, with 3/4 coming from the upper one percent. Sanders tax package would raise a staggering $15.3 trillion over a decade. Most taxpayers would be hit.
It would make more sense if Hillary would calmly re-state the traditional Democrat Party line and let Bernie promote his socialism.

Bill Clinton attacked Bernie Sanders as being sexist. Well, first, given his sexual predatory style, I find it amazing he would do this. Second, we will hear the sexist and misogynist accusation against anyone who opposes Hillary. The statement that a special place in Hell is reserved for women who do not support other women is odd to me. Political campaigns ought to be about the role of government in our lives. I am not sure what gender or skin color have to do with that.

The Democrat Party likes to attack the Koch Brothers, to which Jonah Goldberg responds.

On paying their fair share of taxes, Walter Williams is always good to read, and this is a recent article.

Here is some fact checking of the Democrat debate in January.

 Cal Thomas offers his reflections. Laura Hollis takes the approach of sharing questions "they" refuse to ask of Democrats. I would offer that the debate reflects precisely what moved me away from the Democrat Party. The fact that a socialist touting northern European style socialism, which the Scandinavians are pulling back from, is enough for me. On the national security front, the fact that Bernie can identify climate change rather than the rise of Islamic fundamentalism, Russia, or China is amazing. The attacks on the "one percent," who are the true "forgotten person" in the economy, seems like an appeal to envy. Most of all, the appeal to give Americans free stuff is very dangerous. Nothing is free. If something is free to you, it has come at the expense of someone else. If that is OK with you, we have a moral and character problem. In any case, using the government to make our neighbors provide us free stuff is a form of governance with which I want nothing to do.

Michael Barone offers an interesting analysis of the death of the center-left dimension of the Democrat Party. He uses an analogy with England. Jeff Greenfield offers an analysis of the effect of Obama on the Democrat Party nationally. It is not good. Dana Bilbank refers to the death of the blue dog Democrat as revealed in the House in November 2015. David Shribman describes surprises in the campaign as of June 2015.

Thomas Sowell offers his account of how the Left is fact free, using some recent issues. In another article with the same theme, he focuses on the help the Left wants to give to those who need it, and the harm they end up doing. Larry Elder also provides statistics that suggest that African-Americans are worse off since Obama became president.

The approach of Obama to terrorism, and the similarity with Hillary, will be an issue. From my perspective, the nation needs to consider a militant form of Islam as an enemy. If the nation does not deal with it "over there," the result will be infiltration "here." The weakness of Obama on this topic, shown especially in his response to Paris and to San Bernadino, will be a concern to many Americans, but probably not to most people in the Democrat Party. It has also led to the popularity of some perceived to be "strong," such as Trump and maybe even Cruz. This raises the question of the Obama foreign policy in general. Josef Joffe refers to it as isolationism with drones, doing so in the Atlantic and in a scholarly analysis of what he sees. If you want some information about the spread of violence by Muslims, The Religion of Peace is a reliable site as is The Counter-Jihad Report. For many Democrats, it seems that as soon as there is terrorist attack, the instinct is to defend Islam and Muslims. This reaction seems to be justification for not taking the terror threat seriously, nor taking reasonable and common sense steps to stop them.

One of the issues will be President Obama and his economic policies. Stephen Moore thinks he has divided the nation along class lines. In this article, he writes of the myths about poverty with which Obama seems to live.

Iraq remains an issue. Robert Gates explained how Iraq went from strength to dangerous weakness. Catherine Herridge explains that the prediction of the rise of ISIS and its apparent ignoring by the administration. The rise of ISIS has and the approach to Syria has led to a refugee crisis in Europe as of September 2015. Jonah Goldberg discusses some of the dynamics of this. Jonah Goldberg offers critique of Obama on handling ISIS. Wesley Pruden thinks that when things get tough with ISIS, Obama changes the subject to immigration of Syrian refugees. Rich Lowry reminds us why there are so many refugees, laying it at the feet of Obama. Michael Barone explains that while ISIS attacks, Obama gets angry at Americans who disagree with him. Mona Charen discusses the mistakes of Obama that have led to Syrian refugees.

Iran is an issue. Rachel Marsden reflects upon the importance of a pathway to economic security. Ben Shapiro compares the deal with Iran to Neville Chamberlin, but adds that one could argue that Chamberlin loved his country. While this idea is challenging, the point here is that Obama wants an enemy to become a regional power. Ken Blackwell argues that the proposed Iran deal is worse than what Chamberlin did and he refers to the speech by Winston Churchill in opposition. David Horovitz offers 16 reasons the Iran deal is a victory for Iran and a catastrophe for the West. Peter Morici discusses the economic advantages Iran will receive with the negotiated deal, making it an economic powerhouse in the region. Charles Krauthammer discusses the nuclear deal and is not favorable.

With the decision of the Supreme Court in June 2015, Obamacare will be an issue. Elizabeth Slattery thinks the judges acted like lawmakers rather than judges. S. E. Cupp says this was a gift to the Republican Party. David Harsanyi thinks the Court turned its back on the rule of law. George Will discusses what he thinks is the real problem with the decision.

Hillary Clinton
I share with you some general comments.

One of the serious issues raised by the long public history of Hillary is her character.

I like the questions that Michael Barone thinks Hillary needs to be asked.

First, should the Bill Clinton scandals regarding women influence the Hillary campaign? In my view, the answer is affirmative. Christians can differ on the role of government in the lives of citizens. However, here is one place where, I confess, I have difficulty seeing how Christians can support her. In this case, the issue is not so much what Bill did, but what she did in response. Larry Elder ponders why Hillary has never been asked publicly about her role in the scandals. I think Joe Scarborough is right in saying that times of changed, with her past behavior coming back to haunt her. She personally destroyed women who were on the receiving end of sexual advances from Bill Clinton. These women were not her political enemies. They were victims of the sexual predator she had as a husband. She acted to protect his political career. This was important to her because she valued her political career. She willingly destroyed the lives of several women for these reasons. Camille Paglia discusses how the Bill Cosby rape allegations could negatively affect the campaign of Hillary. Her point is that young women will not take kindly to the way Hillary attacked other women who experienced the sexual advances of her husband. Suzanne Fields explores this matter as well, under the theme that young millennial women will not like what they hear about Hillary and her role in covering for Bill. Victor Davis Hanson says that when she condemns other people, she condemns herself. Donald Trump produced a video that pulls no punches.

Second, the matter of Benghazi has a strong character element. The movie 13 Hours is very good. It is not a political movie. It does offer the perspective of some of the soldiers on the ground during the Benghazi attack. It says nothing directly about Obama or Hillary. We as viewers may well leave wondering if those on the ground were right -- more could have done by those above them. The context here is that she did not reinforce the embassy because of the Obama campaign meme that al qada is on the run. However, the character issue is that after the attack and the killings, she told the grieving families it was the result of a video when she knew, according to released emails, that it was the result of a planned attack. For me, someone who can lie to grieving persons like that has a profound character issue. Again, she did this to support the false campaign theme of Obama. I invite you to reflect upon the issues involved here. In January 2016, Bob Tyrell and Andrew Napolitano explain in a reasonable way the trouble in which Hillary finds herself. Stephen Hayes described a day that showed private emails and Benghazi revelations, making it a bad day for her. Yet, will it matter? The email scandal was prominent. Guy Benson explains some of the elements of this complicated story. Ron Fournier explains why he does not believe Hillary. He is a liberal. John Podhoretz outlines issues related to Benghazi, email controversy, and steady release of State Department emails. Byron York explores the matter, wondering whether Hillary or the State Department is lying. Byron York is on the case again, analyzing another document released by her campaign regarding this matter. Eugene Robinson says Hillary is self-destructive, has no respect for "us," and has no respect for truth. He wishes she would apologize and get out of the race. Judge Andrew Napolitano analyzes the legal trouble in which he thinks Hillary finds herself. He also offers some questions that the committee could could ask. John R. Schindler, a national security expert, reviews why this controversy is so important. Jonah Goldberg writes simply of the email scandal. John Solomon offers a factual account of the issues involved in Benghazi. Debra J. Saunders offers her analysis of the Benghazi hearing. Thomas Sowell discusses the media covering for Hillary. He also writes of the attempt to re-make Hillary. Judicial Watch points to a set of emails released in November in which Huma says Hillary is "often confused."

Third, the corruption surrounding the Clinton foundation is an issue. In early 2015, one of the stories about Hillary Clinton involved the Clinton foundation. The basic story involved the Clintons becoming wealthy after their departure from the White House, from which they famously emerged as "in debt" and "broke." They quickly became wealthy through the speeches they made. Their foundation gained much in wealth, while giving 15% of its income to charities and the rest to "other." Jo Becker and Mike McIntire wrote the New York Times article. Rosalind S. Helderman wrote the Washington Post article. Linda Chavez explained the issues involved in a brief piece. John Stossel suggests that Hillary has a natural protection against suffering any consequences from her questionable actions. Jonah Goldberg notes that Hillary lies, even when it came to an interview she finally had, claiming she has not received a subpoena. Emmett Tyrell Jr says that indictment on these matters is coming as of January 2016. We will see.

I realize that many people are devoted progressives, liberals, and Democrats. However, I invite you to consider the character of this woman. Read M. Scott Peck, "People of the Lie."

Now, as much as I believe Hillary has a strong moral and character issue that disqualifies her from the presidency, I also think it does not matter. At this level of conversation, people are quite set in their views. When it comes to the Clintons, many people simply love them and support them. They can do wrong. So, let us turn to policy. In fact, my suspicion is the persuadable people in this election are persuadable only on the basis of policy. Charles Krauthammer includes some of these matters in a broader discussion of the investigations conducted by the House. In essence, they do not work. My contention is that they cannot work, due to the bond that exists between the Press, the progressive agenda, the Democrat Party, and the Clintons. Further, for these groups, conservatives are more of an enemy than is radical Islam. I am not convinced, in other words, that one could discover anything in the area of corruption and morality that would shake the bond, because the over-riding issue or the Left is their agenda. As long as someone advances the political agenda, their character does not matter.

One campaign theme will be the war on women. The theme of the "war on women" has taken an interesting turn. In August 2015, she compared Republican opposition to Planned Parenthood to terrorists. Carly Fiorina responded. So did Mark Halperin. She does not pay women on her own staff as much as men. The Clinton Foundation has received millions of dollars from Islamic states that oppress women. Further, terrorists are beheading people for their ideas, while Planned Parenthood is crushing the heads of babies in order to sell baby parts. Stephen Moore re-directs this issue to the Obama years and how difficult it has been for working women.

Jonah Goldberg wonders if actual accomplishments will be downfall of Hillary.

David Harsanyi wonders when Hillary will be held accountable for her vote on Iraq.

Hillary was Secretary of State. Herb London offers a relatively reasoned assessment of her years there. Jennifer Rubin discusses the failure of the policy regarding Libya. George Will weighs in on the policy failure of Libya.

Hillary has flip-flopped or evolved on her view of illegal immigration, according to Matt Vespa.

Hillary offered a major economic speech. Although I did not listen, even sympathetic listeners said it was tired and uninspiring. Donald Lambro analyzes her economic recommendations and finds them lacking. Cal Thomas also looks at the speech and considered it boring, as well as tired and expected rhetoric. Michael Barone, who thinks she is likely to be the next President, examines this speech as a throwback to the year of her birth, 1948, when government was the solution to every problem. Robert J. Samuelson analyzes her proposal for encouraging profit-sharing. Fred Barnes considers her economic plan as a way to shrink the economy further.

Hillary seemed to get into demagoguery when she accused Republicans of wanting to keep people from voting. In supporting a lawsuit against Ohio, for example, she failed to note that New York has only one day to vote, while Ohio has a month to vote. Bill Murchison discusses this matter. Mona Charen calls it the "They hate you" strategy.

Planned Parenthood is selling the body parts of the fetuses they abort. S. A. Miller describes the vigorous defense of the organization against attacks, putting to rest the hope that some people had that those on the opposite side of the abortion question could unite in opposition to this practice. Joy Overbeck ponders the founder of the organization, Margaret Sanger, and the praise Hillary placed upon her.

To conclude, one of the issues is that Hillary is the only realistic candidate. She may have a bad day, or even a bad week. However, given this context, what would that mean? She will not be denied the nomination. When it comes to the election, she will have a set number of Democrat votes, no matter what. For me personally, I confess to boredom with the Clintons. In July 2015, a poll showed a weakened position for Hillary in some key states. In another poll in August 2015, people were asked what word comes to their minds when they think of Hillary. The top three were liar, dishonest, and untrustworthy. My personal view is that the only way such evidence "matters" is if they matter to the major news outlets and they take out after Hillary (they will not) or if members of the Democrat Party turn their backs on her (they will not). This confirms an early observation that a "bad" day for Hillary is relative. It will not detract from her inevitable march toward the nomination. The only possible derailment of this train is Obama and the Justice Department. If they bring actual criminal charges against her, all bets are off.

Jack Shaffer explains that the way Hillary is running her campaign suggests that she thinks of herself as running as the President, rather than running for President. Michael Barone wonders if Hillary will be able to reverse a six-year decline in turnout for Democrats. Rich Galen thinks Hillary is losing ground to herself. Fred Barnes points to the already closing gap between top Republicans and Hillary and her inability to raise big money as signs that many Democrats are in a panic. Carl Rove compares the message of President Clinton and the message of Hillary, and finds the latter wanting. Thomas Sowell examines her record, and finds its failures not balanced by successes. George Will has some serious questions that he thinks Hillary ought to answer. Jonah Goldberg examines her flip-flop on the Trans-Pacific Trade deal and a few other such alterations of policy positions, suggesting that one cannot trust any position she has.

The Democrat Party could save itself a lot of money by cancelling further debates and primaries and have a coronation of Hillary.

Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders is an opponent of Hillary from the Left. Donald Lambro discusses his notion of redistribution and socialism in Sanders. Emmett Tyrrell argues that he will have the historical role of one who is a spoiler, something like Eugene McCarthy. He also offers Jerry Brown and Michael Bloomberg as alternatives to Hillary. Katie Pavlich writes of the essay Bernie Sanders wrote in the 1970s about the sexual fantasies of men and women, the latter fantasizing about gang rape. David Harsanyi says that Bernie Sanders, as a socialist, represents the direction the Democrat Party has been moving. Mark Halpern has an insightful way of reflecting on how Bernie could win. Larry Elders discusses the inability of the head of the Democrat Party to distinguish between a Democrat and a socialist. He things that there is no difference. In August 2015, Jonah Goldberg describes the problems this life-long socialist presents to the Democrat Party. In September 2015, Nate Silver says we should not compare Sanders and Trump.

Bruce Bialosky discusses why the free college proposal is stupid. Mona Charen puts him with Donald Trump as a demagogue.

Jeffery Immelt, the head of General Electric, defends business against the accusations of Sanders that they are destroying the moral fabric of the nation.

Jonathan Capart studies an interview of Bernie in light of questions to which he ought to have had an answer.

Notes:
Charles Krauthammer offers a betting analysis of the election, giving Hillary and Marco 3-1 odds to win respective nominations and 55-45 for the Republicans in the general. Thomas Sowell offers analysis of the election, as of August 2015.